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The First Step in Building a Predictive Model
messaging at the level that senior stakeholders care about. Put yourselves in the stakeholder’s “shoes” ... of model, as senior lead- ership likely doesn’t care as much about those details. Start with a high-level ...- Authors: Nathan Dennis Pohle
- Date: Dec 2018
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Standing Room Only! Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting
presentation on “Modeling Complex Systems in Health Care.” He talked about the strengths and weaknesses ... serious games—to solve actuarial problems in health care. Obviously, this year saw a turning point in actuarial ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Finance & Investments>Asset liability management; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Sums of Lognormals
expressions. Numerically, (2) does agree with the direct integralZ 1 0 dy σ √ 2πy exp ∑ iuy − 1 2σ2 ... numbers. For instance, if µ = 0, σ = 1, then the direct formula yields (using Mathematica) 0.340301 + ...- Authors: Daniel Dufresne
- Date: Nov 2008
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Integrated Risk Management
models have to be designed appropriately and have a direct link to your results, so that it's clear that the ... rate. Your fixed margins can be depressed, I don't care how much analysis you do. So the processes are ...- Authors: Jack Gibson, Albert Zlogar
- Date: Sep 2003
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Solvency Standards in Canada
pr inciple by the CIA Council as a reasonable direct ion to follow. The teaching session later today ... la ted mat ter which also requ i res a lot of care is ensur ing that the mix of bus iness for ...- Authors: Allan Brender, Robert Howard, David R Johnston
- Date: Jan 1987
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Public Policy
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AIDS: Some Aspects of Modeling the Insurance Risk
APPLICATION TO INDIVIDUAL COMPANIES In general, the primary risk of AIDS-related claims in the future is in ... whereas reserving for future issues will be taken care of by adjustments to the underlying mortality or ...- Authors: Fung-Yee F Chan, Michael Cowell, Harry H Panjer
- Date: Oct 1989
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Asset/Liability Management
benefit of that cash-flow testing exercise. Our primary focus, I think, is to talk about, when we're done ... or five other Pentium machines. You have to take care of the hardware considerations, and you have to ...- Authors: Mark Davis, Frederick W Jackson
- Date: Jan 1995
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Finance & Investments>Asset liability management; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Distribution and Quantile Estimates for Parametric and Non-parametric Models on Value at Risk
Distribution and Quantile Estimates for Parametric and Non-parametric Models on Value at Risk ... more unstable than the 1st and the 5th. This is a direct consequence of the nature of the 500 point data ...- Authors: Beda Chan
- Date: Jan 1999
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Practitioners' Forum
no small task. So there are four people whose primary functions are support. They are all actuaries, ... flat. As the chief actuary, I have seven or eight direct reports, and then below that we have mentoring ...- Authors: Errol Cramer, James Hohmann, W. Michael Pressley, Stephen A J Sedlak
- Date: Jan 1996
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Finance & Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Interest Rate Model Risk
because I know there are many companies where the primary goal is to meet the literal requirements of the ... The danger in comparing two models is that, if care isn't taken to parameterize them reasonably consistently ...- Authors: David N Becker, Michael E Mateja, Douglas A George, Peter Fitton
- Date: Jan 1996
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Finance & Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods